The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of being in this range is 0.16% higher than the probability of being in the 0% to 1% ...
Treasury yields have shifted, with the 2-year yield at 3.99% and the 10-year yield at 4.32%, widening the 2-year/10-year spread to 0.33%. The probability of an inverted yield curve peaks at 24.2% by ...